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Could someone produce, zone probability, statistical analysis, similar to JT Jacksons


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Could someone produce, zone probability, statistical analysis, similar to JT Jacksons

  #11 (permalink)
 harry737 
london, UK
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Daily Ticket
this is how the data is represented, 8668 would be the pivot, 8723 is Res 1, 8764 is Res 2, so it would read to me that(above 8668), the market has opened, between 8668 and 8723, 59% of the time it trades higher than 8723, there is a lack of resistance here shown at 51%, the market trades above 8764, 29% of the time and out of the 29% of the time it trades above here the market closes above Res2 or 8764.
It also shows to me that the Pivot is broken 78% of the time, so it trades below 8668 , (78 times out of a 100), good support is seen 8572(Sup 2)-8627(Sup 1), it reaches this area 42% of the time, then the likely hood of the market breaking below, 8572 is 17%, the market does show a lack of support below 8572(Sup2)
On Summary, conclusion on this setup for this day, is to buy in the support area 8572-8627(Market reaches 42% of the time), to sell above 8723 so long as the market hasnt broke Res 1(this breaks 59% of the time), before reaching the support area, its a quick generalization.
I would use this like an overlay for the day.

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  #12 (permalink)
 
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 Fat Tails 
Berlin, Europe
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harry737 View Post

Daily Ticket
this is how the data is represented, 8668 would be the pivot, 8723 is Res 1, 8764 is Res 2, so it would read to me that(above 8668), the market has opened, between 8668 and 8723, 59% of the time it trades higher than 8723, there is a lack of resistance here shown at 51%, the market trades above 8764, 29% of the time and out of the 29% of the time it trades above here the market closes above Res2 or 8764.
It also shows to me that the Pivot is broken 78% of the time, so it trades below 8668 , (78 times out of a 100), good support is seen 8572(Sup 2)-8627(Sup 1), it reaches this area 42% of the time, then the likely hood of the market breaking below, 8572 is 17%, the market does show a lack of support below 8572(Sup2)
On Summary, conclusion on this setup for this day, is to buy in the support area 8572-8627(Market reaches 42% of the time), to sell above 8723 so long as the market hasnt broke Res 1(this breaks 59% of the time), before reaching the support area, its a quick generalization.
I would use this like an overlay for the day.

@harry737: The pivot, support and resistance levels are just calculated from the prior day's high, low and close. Which other parameters do you use to determine the probabilities. Could you elaborate please?

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  #13 (permalink)
 drakebauer 
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From reading the book and trading it you create zones

For instance PP to R1 would be zone 4

PP to S1 would be zone 3 and so on

Where it say it close right above PP and below R1 that would be a zone 4 close

then you take the project zones and if it says opens below PP and S1 that would be a 4/3 setup and certain probabilities exits

I have always done hand calculations the fib trader automates one is in my mind a one fits all approach that never delivered the same results.

yes have trades it on the eminis since 2002

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  #14 (permalink)
 harry737 
london, UK
 
Experience: Intermediate
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If anyone would be interested, the MSSQL database that runs the app is in three programs, which includes a website, that handles the data. Its wrote in c#, it also needs some code wrote for CQG API, to connect the data, the app. runs 40+ different markets, with a 60 min timeframe and dailys. I was also looking to alert best setups, by SMS or sound.
If any interest please message me privately

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  #15 (permalink)
 harry737 
london, UK
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Fat Tails View Post
I have coded different variations of the Jackson Zones. The zones match the definitions as exposed in the FT Journal issue 14 "High Probability Fibonacci Zone Analysis" from Fibonacci Trader - The First Multiple Time Frame Software for Traders. Available are daily, weekly and monthly Jackson Zones. Unlike the indicator offered by FibonacciTrader, my indicators allow

-> for calculating Jackson Zones from full session or regular session data
-> use the regular close, the full session close or the settlement price (taken from daily data) for futures

Please let me know the details of your "Zone Analysis Table", as this will allow me to find out whether the tools match your needs. A free version of the daily/ weekly/ monthly Jackson Zones is available here






The chart below shows an advanced version that comes with N-day/N-week/N-month rolling pivots and allows to show projections for next day/week/ month. As Jackson Zones are basically a symmetrical variation (levels R1 and S1) of floor pivots, I have used the terminology for floor pivots and not the terms used by FibonacciTrader.

BP (balance point) -> becomes PP (identical with main floor pivot)


Very Good, was some caught up in what I wanted, thanks

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  #16 (permalink)
 RickW00716 
Richmond Virginia
 
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Fat Tails View Post
I have coded different variations of the Jackson Zones. The zones match the definitions as exposed in the FT Journal issue 14 "High Probability Fibonacci Zone Analysis" from Fibonacci Trader - The First Multiple Time Frame Software for Traders. Available are daily, weekly and monthly Jackson Zones. Unlike the indicator offered by FibonacciTrader, my indicators allow

-> for calculating Jackson Zones from full session or regular session data
-> use the regular close, the full session close or the settlement price (taken from daily data) for futures

Please let me know the details of your "Zone Analysis Table", as this will allow me to find out whether the tools match your needs. A free version of the daily/ weekly/ monthly Jackson Zones is available here






The chart below shows an advanced version that comes with N-day/N-week/N-month rolling pivots and allows to show projections for next day/week/ month. As Jackson Zones are basically a symmetrical variation (levels R1 and S1) of floor pivots, I have used the terminology for floor pivots and not the terms used by FibonacciTrader.

BP (balance point) -> becomes PP (identical with main floor pivot)


What do the RB1, SB1, etc. levels mean? Forgive me if I missed the explanation somewhere. I know what R1, S1, etc. are though.

Thank you

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  #17 (permalink)
 
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 Fat Tails 
Berlin, Europe
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RickW00716 View Post
What do the RB1, SB1, etc. levels mean? Forgive me if I missed the explanation somewhere. I know what R1, S1, etc. are though.

Thank you

See post above:

"The zones match the definitions as exposed in the FT Journal issue 14 "High Probability Fibonacci Zone Analysis" from Fibonacci Trader - The First Multiple Time Frame Software for Traders. Available are daily, weekly and monthly Jackson Zones."

Did you read the journal issue?

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