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Search: Posts Made By: SMCJB
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 7th, 2024, 12:28 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 584
Posted By SMCJB
You mean this one? That's pretty good but 1...

You mean this one? That's pretty good but 1 million sims would be better :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0RY439GaegQ
Forum: Psychology and Money Management April 7th, 2024, 11:39 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 584
Posted By SMCJB
I nominate kevinkdog. This is right up his...

I nominate kevinkdog.

This is right up his alley. He's done some great pieces where he runs millions of simulations to test Bull & Bear Regimes - with link...
Forum: Cryptocurrency April 5th, 2024, 01:42 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 879
Posted By SMCJB
You should get ALL your USD equivalent value back...

You should get ALL your USD equivalent value back but not your crypto back! Since crypto has almost tripled since then, while you may be getting your value back at the time of the bankruptcy. your...
Forum: Commodities March 25th, 2024, 09:48 AM
Replies: 368
Views: 89,533
Posted By SMCJB
Only if you have storage!

Only if you have storage!
Forum: Commodities March 24th, 2024, 03:05 PM
Replies: 78
Views: 21,301
Posted By SMCJB
Gold is one of those markets where forward prices...

Gold is one of those markets where forward prices are highly arbitrage-able and most of the time forward contracts trade at cost of carry (ie interest) plus cost of storage. (Unlike something like...
Forum: Commodities March 22nd, 2024, 10:11 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,701
Posted By SMCJB
Not financial trading specific, but interesting...

Not financial trading specific, but interesting opinion about physical trading and the bad stuff/bribery that goes on.

Bloomberg :- Oil Trading Is Still Rife With Bribes. Time the Industry Cleaned...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 20th, 2024, 04:52 PM
Replies: 70
Views: 5,352
Posted By SMCJB
Thanks Dmonz, dredmond19800, josh, processing,...

Thanks Dmonz, dredmond19800, josh, processing, sevensa and everybody else contributing to this conversation. Very interesting, especially how you have as many as 20 accounts going at the same time....
Forum: Commodities March 19th, 2024, 04:37 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 617,701
Posted By SMCJB
Fed Funds futures saying no rate cut till May. Of...

Fed Funds futures saying no rate cut till May. Of course they could be wrong!
March ~ 94.6725 = 5.3275%
April ~ 94.6725 = 5.3275%
May ~ 94.6925 = 5.3075%
(Settles against the monthly average of...
Forum: Feedback and Announcements March 19th, 2024, 01:58 PM
Replies: 3,895
Views: 1,256,377
Posted By SMCJB
YES YES YES

YES YES YES
Forum: Feedback and Announcements March 18th, 2024, 03:12 PM
Replies: 3,895
Views: 1,256,377
Posted By SMCJB
Thats great. Thanks

Thats great. Thanks
Forum: Traders Hideout March 18th, 2024, 12:02 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
Sorry wasn't specifically aiming my comment at...

Sorry wasn't specifically aiming my comment at you, probably shouldn't have quoted your specific post and called you out. You are right in that you are not advocating for this type of thinking.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 18th, 2024, 12:40 AM
Replies: 76
Views: 5,379
Posted By SMCJB
Yes CFDs are unregulated extortion which is the...

Yes CFDs are unregulated extortion which is the main reason they are not legal in the US.

I would make some statement about how amazed I am that they are legal in the UK (grew up in Gloucester...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 17th, 2024, 11:55 PM
Replies: 70
Views: 5,352
Posted By SMCJB
Great question Big Mike I don't participate...

Great question Big Mike

I don't participate in funded trader platforms so maybe my vote doesn't count. But the reason I would never participate is "Unrealistic rules and requirements". They are...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 17th, 2024, 11:50 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 5,379
Posted By SMCJB
Psychology is important, but edge is more...

Psychology is important, but edge is more important.
Bad psychology can ruin good edge, but good psychology doesn't fix lack of edge.
Forum: Traders Hideout March 17th, 2024, 11:47 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
But if you do bet you can also lose!

But if you do bet you can also lose!
Forum: Traders Hideout March 17th, 2024, 11:45 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
People do not understand the difference between...

People do not understand the difference between mean and median. If you do the analysis on Kelly Betting it optimizes "logarithm of wealth". If everybody uses it, almost everybody goes bankrupt. But...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 17th, 2024, 11:35 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
If your making the argument that average member...

If your making the argument that average member here would be better off being a buy and hold investor and not a trader than I agree.
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 17th, 2024, 11:30 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 5,379
Posted By SMCJB
Just to confirm we are talking futures here not...

Just to confirm we are talking futures here not equities. No such thing in futures.

Agree. Globex Tag URRETAIL999 lets everybody see who the retail traders are.
Sorry that was a joke. Again just...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 17th, 2024, 09:45 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
So 3 months ago you only had a $15k account and...

So 3 months ago you only had a $15k account and this time next year it will be $7 Million?
Let's re do that Math for say last 2 years rather than last 1 year? Suddenly 20% looks great!

I know...
Forum: Stocks and ETFs March 16th, 2024, 11:47 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 1,160
Posted By SMCJB
Dr Beneish who developed the M-Score which...

Dr Beneish who developed the M-Score which identified Enron as a Fraud years before it collapsed currently has 3 potential fraud warnings. NVDA, TSLA & SMCI
Forum: Traders Hideout March 16th, 2024, 11:44 AM
Replies: 20
Views: 649
Posted By SMCJB
Your lowest category, <0.25%/day, equates to...

Your lowest category, <0.25%/day, equates to 62.5%/year.
Anybody who can consistently return that would be a superstar.
Anything above that is nothing short of dreaming.
If I was doing this I...
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 15th, 2024, 10:03 AM
Replies: 76
Views: 5,379
Posted By SMCJB
Sorry for delay, been out of town for most of the...

Sorry for delay, been out of town for most of the week.


The short answer is, Predominantly for...
- Position tracking. (Lots of different strategies trading the same instruments. For example in...
Forum: Traders Hideout March 15th, 2024, 09:14 AM
Replies: 1,263
Views: 680,989
Posted By SMCJB
You have 43" monitors with a single chart on...

You have 43" monitors with a single chart on them?
Forum: Feedback and Announcements March 15th, 2024, 09:05 AM
Replies: 3,895
Views: 1,256,377
Posted By SMCJB
Strongly Agree

Strongly Agree
Forum: Psychology and Money Management March 11th, 2024, 11:57 PM
Replies: 76
Views: 5,379
Posted By SMCJB
Been meaning to make this comment in the...

Been meaning to make this comment in the "Battlestations" thread but haven't got around to it. Lots of lovely pictures of multi screen setups with dozens of charts most with several indicators. Can't...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 4587
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