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Showing results 1 to 25 of 38
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Posts Made By:
Surly
Forum:
Commodities
May 2nd, 2013, 06:08 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Thanks Ryan - I think you're totally right that...
Thanks Ryan - I think you're totally right that there's really no black and white answer. I am using the basic rule of thumb that I use eth vwap until about 9:30 cst and then rth vwap thereafter....
Forum:
Commodities
May 2nd, 2013, 10:34 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
eth vs rth vwap
(posted this q in wrong thread before....)
I have a question about using the eth vwap vs rth vwap. In my limited experience it seems that the eth vwap and its deviations provides reference levels...
Forum:
Commodities
April 29th, 2013, 12:18 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
greenr your posts are very helpful to me. One of...
greenr your posts are very helpful to me. One of my problems has always been over-weighting the probability of breakouts. I think because when they happen they make such a big impression I am...
Forum:
Commodities
April 26th, 2013, 11:44 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Well, all I can say for myself is that at least...
Well, all I can say for myself is that at least I'm not fading this down move.
After we failed at the open again I got out of longs and then shorted when we retested rth vwap from the bottom. BUT...
Forum:
Commodities
April 26th, 2013, 10:53 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Not a bad idea on a day like today - I've got a...
Not a bad idea on a day like today - I've got a lot of MFE that I've left on the table with all this chop...
Feels to me like the market wants to test the UP direction again but its making me work...
Forum:
Commodities
April 25th, 2013, 10:08 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Bouncing hard like that off the vpoc from...
Bouncing hard like that off the vpoc from yesterday and then retesting but staying within today's dval makes a strong argument for a test of the HOD. But the price action is so rotational that it...
Forum:
Commodities
April 24th, 2013, 11:21 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Great job letting go of the idea the market was...
Great job letting go of the idea the market was going lower. Pretty clear day IMO (although I wish my execution was better). I'm curious why you thought that was a sloppy entry, I thought the market...
Forum:
Commodities
April 24th, 2013, 10:14 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Please do - your analysis is always helpful. So...
Please do - your analysis is always helpful. So far today we have an open drive, pushing above a key level at 89.30 and we've already pushed into the gap as well. I have that 90.14 as "a" bracket...
Forum:
Commodities
April 24th, 2013, 10:01 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Sure is potential for a squeeze up here with all...
Sure is potential for a squeeze up here with all this volume at the highs. Probably a lot of stops above 90.00 and there's a reference level at 90.14.
Forum:
Commodities
April 24th, 2013, 09:46 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
They'll probably try to scare the shorts just...
They'll probably try to scare the shorts just long enough so you poop your pants and then it'll drop like a rock. :)
Forum:
Commodities
April 24th, 2013, 09:45 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Nice Ryan - I don't have the balls to short these...
Nice Ryan - I don't have the balls to short these open drives but I think its a good trade. Profile looks like short covering - that could weaken the market enough to make this trade work. Plus a big...
Forum:
Commodities
April 22nd, 2013, 12:06 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Great job being patient and waiting for the...
Great job being patient and waiting for the reference level to initiate a trade. I also had to watch that whole move down without participating. However I was not as confident when price got to...
Forum:
Commodities
April 18th, 2013, 01:09 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Location of your VWAP modification?
Hey greenr - can you post a link to the download location for your modification of FT's vwap? I have a terrible time trying to find indicators on futures.io (formerly BMT). Thanks!!
Forum:
Commodities
March 18th, 2013, 02:18 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Well, that did work out well, huh? Looks like a...
Well, that did work out well, huh? Looks like a lot of standing sell orders at the prior high. Tough to say whether this will go further but there's plenty of time left for the big guys to get their...
Forum:
Commodities
March 18th, 2013, 01:54 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Sorry, I'm late to this so may be repeating......
Sorry, I'm late to this so may be repeating... But the key to Ninjatrader Rollover is that you cannot bring the new contract into your charts until after the date set (arbitrarily) by ninjatrader in...
Forum:
Commodities
March 8th, 2013, 07:51 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Just to offer another opinion: I stopped...
Just to offer another opinion: I stopped following this thread because of all the real time trade calling. The analysis (whether before or after the fact) is more helpful to me personally.
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 02:10 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
That's enough for me. I'm short from .42 ...
That's enough for me. I'm short from .42
edit: that didn't go so well. stopped out right away... think I'm done.
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 02:09 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
OK - I think this is one last shot by longs that...
OK - I think this is one last shot by longs that will fail below 90.50. So I'm looking for a short-term price pattern like a double top (double failure) to get short again into the close. I'm going...
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 01:57 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Sure - hope this explains. I'm using minute data...
Sure - hope this explains. I'm using minute data on teh composite and tick data on my daily profile.
I am trading price action down here but I'm looking for a test of the low of the LVA...
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 01:50 PM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
My target is 89.70 - low of the LVA on the...
My target is 89.70 - low of the LVA on the composite.
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 09:59 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
nobody's doing anything until ISM comes out ...
nobody's doing anything until ISM comes out ...
Forum:
Commodities
March 1st, 2013, 09:50 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
I'm looking at this gaping LVA from 90.30 to...
I'm looking at this gaping LVA from 90.30 to 89.70 and wondering if that's going to factor into today. We're pretty oversold relative to the weekly VWAP but still have lots of room on the daily.
...
Forum:
Commodities
February 28th, 2013, 11:36 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
I don't watch the 1-minute chart except under...
I don't watch the 1-minute chart except under specific circumstances - for me it is too distracting to watch the PA on that short a timeframe. I use the 5m chart but when I'm looking for this type of...
Forum:
Commodities
February 28th, 2013, 11:30 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
I have an entry criteria that is just lower...
I have an entry criteria that is just lower volume on a retest when the market is at a level WHEN THE CONTEXT IS RIGHT. I just call it a "low volume retest" - see the chart. When this occurs on a...
Forum:
Commodities
February 28th, 2013, 10:12 AM
Replies:
1,806
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC
Views:
364,592
Posted By
Surly
Whether it works or not, I have to commend you on...
Whether it works or not, I have to commend you on waiting this long to take a trade! :) Sitting on hands is the most difficult thing...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 38
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