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Search: Posts Made By: blackgrey45
Forum: Commodities March 23rd, 2024, 09:44 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News...

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Venezuelan-Oil-Refinery-Halts-Units-After-Fire.html

A short article about disruption at a Venezuela oil refinery with interesting info.
Forum: Commodities March 19th, 2024, 04:31 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Should be interesting to get some guidance on...

Should be interesting to get some guidance on possible rate decisions by the Fed tomorrow. Very possible to see a melt up in crude prices into the mid 80s going into spring if rate cuts are on the...
Forum: Commodities March 5th, 2024, 12:16 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
So right now China is experiencing a big slow...

So right now China is experiencing a big slow down in the real estate market. This slow down is thought to have effects such as deflationary pressures creating an argument for lower prices in the oil...
Forum: Commodities February 28th, 2024, 07:56 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
The chart below is the short interest in Exxon...

The chart below is the short interest in Exxon Mobile stock. Now is the highest short interest in Exxon Mobile stock in the last 10 years. Could there be a short squeeze coming in this stock and the...
Forum: Commodities February 26th, 2024, 01:42 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Iron ore prices down 4% this morning in Asia....

Iron ore prices down 4% this morning in Asia. News sources saying this is due to weak demand in China. Could this weakness in demand spread to the oil market?
Forum: Commodities February 25th, 2024, 10:40 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News...

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Global-Oil-Demand-Hit-Another-Monthly-Record-in-December.html

Oil demand rises by 500k barrels per day in December from November.
Forum: Commodities February 24th, 2024, 03:18 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
I know the intention of the SPR is to stabilize...

I know the intention of the SPR is to stabilize supply and prices in the oil market, but the general idea seems anti-market somehow. I think everybody here know that a free market economy has booms...
Forum: Commodities February 18th, 2024, 01:49 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
I was with my mom and we saw a Tesla. She asked...

I was with my mom and we saw a Tesla. She asked if I would get one. I told her that I like them but I would not buy an electric vehicle at this time. I said I would rather take 5 minutes to fill a...
Forum: Commodities February 17th, 2024, 10:38 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commoditi...

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/oil-demand-crude-energy-death-supply-morningstar-finance-markets-investors-2024-2

Learned from this article that new oil wells are only...
Forum: Commodities February 14th, 2024, 10:27 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
News source says: Drilling for crude in U.S....

News source says:

Drilling for crude in U.S. stalls. However, U.S. crude oil production rose by 300k bpd to an average of 13.3 million bpd in the week ending February 2. Production rate is now...
Forum: Commodities February 12th, 2024, 03:41 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Crude trading in the mid 70s now. One could only...

Crude trading in the mid 70s now. One could only wonder how much lower prices would be had there been no conflict in the Middle East.

News sources saying there was a larger than expected global...
Forum: Commodities February 8th, 2024, 10:39 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
This sideways price action to be expected in the...

This sideways price action to be expected in the crude market right now, in the low to mid 70s. With possible rate cuts from the Fed looking to be in the middle to late part of the year a meaningful...
Forum: Commodities January 24th, 2024, 10:50 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Does anybody trade crude between 2:30pm and 5pm?...

Does anybody trade crude between 2:30pm and 5pm? There has been some 30-40 tick moves on some days the last couple of weeks.
Forum: Commodities January 12th, 2024, 11:16 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
I feel like crude is being pushed up and down at...

I feel like crude is being pushed up and down at the same time and price is just kind of found a good equilibrium in the low 70s. Conflict in the Middle East and the possibility of rate cuts...
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2024, 03:01 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Does anybody know the significance of 2:30pm in...

Does anybody know the significance of 2:30pm in the crude oil market? Seems like volume/price action picks up going into 2:30 then significantly tapers. I know the pits used to close then but maybe...
Forum: Commodities December 26th, 2023, 05:47 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Thinking on the importance of central bank policy...

Thinking on the importance of central bank policy in the oil market: I think the dovish outlook of the Fed and ECB should put a floor in crude priced in dollars and euros (I am sure somewhere in the...
Forum: Commodities December 20th, 2023, 07:46 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
February crude contract up about 8% from the...

February crude contract up about 8% from the December 13 low of $67.98. I think crude is firming up partly because of the Fed and European central bank discussions to cut rates next year and conflict...
Forum: Commodities December 7th, 2023, 01:24 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Does the US gov trade WTI crude on the NYMEX?

Does the US gov trade WTI crude on the NYMEX?
Forum: Commodities October 30th, 2023, 03:54 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Afternoons are pretty quiet for crude oil. There...

Afternoons are pretty quiet for crude oil. There is a spike in price action and volume from 2:00 to 2:30pm. Between 2:30pm and 4pm there is very limited action in crude.
Forum: Commodities October 1st, 2023, 08:28 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
US oil production now stands at 12.991 million...

US oil production now stands at 12.991 million barrels per day just shy of the record of 13 million barrels per day in Nov 2019. News sources saying it's still not enough to make up for the cuts by...
Forum: Commodities September 28th, 2023, 02:58 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Does this cause the spread between WTI and Brent...

Does this cause the spread between WTI and Brent to narrow?
Forum: Commodities September 28th, 2023, 02:49 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Well I am confused and very interested what is...

Well I am confused and very interested what is happening in the crude oil market the last week. The news is still referring to supply cuts as the main reason why oil is rallying.

I would have...
Forum: Commodities September 8th, 2023, 01:03 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
The dollar is strong and oil rallying. This makes...

The dollar is strong and oil rallying. This makes me think supply and demand dynamics for oil are bullish. I think this because all things being equal oil should be selling off in a strong dollar...
Forum: Commodities August 16th, 2023, 04:05 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
Crude down over 2% today. Looking at the chart,...

Crude down over 2% today. Looking at the chart, 78.69 looks like the next level of support, which was the August 3 low and price is getting pretty close to it now. Next level down looks like 77.15,...
Forum: Commodities August 16th, 2023, 02:52 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,066
Posted By blackgrey45
The central bank of Russia raised the short term...

The central bank of Russia raised the short term interest rate in Russia 3.5% to 12% in an effort to fight inflation and a declining ruble. I thought this was worth mentioning since Russia is a major...
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