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Posts Made By:
Greg Loehr
Forum:
Options
September 8th, 2013, 06:29 PM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
Take a look at YHOO for example. We're watching...
Take a look at YHOO for example. We're watching this closely and this strategy is up 5.9% in first month.
CLF is another.
Forum:
Options
August 13th, 2013, 07:24 PM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
Thanks. If you're going to sell an iron...
Thanks.
If you're going to sell an iron condor, sell the options with a 16 delta. That puts your short strikes approximately at the end of the expected range on both sides, and now at least...
Forum:
Options
August 5th, 2013, 08:17 AM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
Yes, it's figured into every option, and every...
Yes, it's figured into every option, and every expiration. But keep in mind a few things. First, it's an approximation. It's pretty close, but still an approximation. Second, it's constantly...
Forum:
Options
August 3rd, 2013, 10:02 AM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
But...also remember that whenever you attach a...
But...also remember that whenever you attach a probability to something, you also have to attach a time frame. So using the delta as a surrogate for probability assumes expiration as the time frame.
Forum:
Options
August 3rd, 2013, 09:12 AM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
It's not a strategy. If you're interested in the...
It's not a strategy. If you're interested in the probability of an option expiring in/out of the money, you can just look at the delta. It's a decent approximation of an option's probability of...
Forum:
Options
July 29th, 2013, 10:54 AM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
Why not just use the delta of the option to...
Why not just use the delta of the option to calculate the probability of expiring in/out of the money?
Forum:
Options
July 24th, 2013, 09:52 AM
Replies:
30
Option R:R vs. probabilities
Views:
8,769
Posted By
Greg Loehr
As to the original question, there's no such...
As to the original question, there's no such thing as a "good" risk vs reward in that there's no edge in option pricing. If/when 'edge' appears, the computers at Goldman Sachs pick it up and it gets...
Showing results 1 to 7 of 7
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