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Search: Posts Made By: ElChacal
Forum: Commodities August 21st, 2019, 11:50 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
$DWT getting lots of attention today and also...

$DWT getting lots of attention today and also yesterday. Seems CL is meeting resistance at this level.
Forum: Commodities August 7th, 2019, 03:55 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Looking green... :popcorn: (As a...

Looking green... :popcorn:

(As a "correlated" bias, ^TNX seems to be following...)
Forum: Commodities August 7th, 2019, 12:41 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
It may well be a big dump. Platform shows $202MM...

It may well be a big dump. Platform shows $202MM traded today...
Forum: Commodities August 7th, 2019, 10:58 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
UWT call?

Seems like a good place to start a small Long position in Crude Oil. $UWT stock is getting lots of attention today.
Forum: Commodities April 11th, 2019, 06:47 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
EIA report ...

EIA report
https://twitter.com/iea/status/1116253325501063168?s=21


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum: Commodities March 21st, 2019, 01:15 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
IMO 2020 will increase all shipping rates but...

IMO 2020 will increase all shipping rates but nobody’s still sure by how much

https://www.ft.com/content/c486bfe6-4b05-11e9-bbc9-6917dce3dc62


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum: Commodities March 8th, 2019, 01:07 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
A little correlation

So people won't say I make up stuff...

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=263739
Forum: Commodities March 8th, 2019, 12:39 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Falling Crude prices = falling inflation =...

Falling Crude prices = falling inflation = falling yields = good for Treasury futures.
I think Defensive mode is on. Risk off.
Forum: Commodities January 9th, 2019, 10:06 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
It's interesting how both in futures and options...

It's interesting how both in futures and options you also need to get the contract right besides the trade direction. I think I hopped on too early with my USO Calls but "mid term" I got the...
Forum: Commodities December 18th, 2018, 08:28 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
I thought that with the recovery of OI since mid...

I thought that with the recovery of OI since mid November the turn around was close, but still falling. It broke the $50 level yesterday.


Sent using the NexusFi mobile app...
Forum: Commodities December 3rd, 2018, 11:02 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Both Crude and Gold are up today. I wonder if...

Both Crude and Gold are up today. I wonder if shorting gold is the best way to hedge against an increase in the US dollar. Not sure how to trade this but I am just thinking about it this morning.
Forum: Commodities September 23rd, 2018, 11:54 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Very interesting, what platform are you using? ...

Very interesting, what platform are you using?
Thanks.




Sent using the NexusFi mobile app (https://on.futures.io/app)
Forum: Commodities September 16th, 2018, 01:44 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Open Interest seems to be in a sharp decline...

Open Interest seems to be in a sharp decline since May... I am thinking on buying a couple of USO Puts, hopefully have vega help my case with an increase on implied volatility. This shall balance my...
Forum: Commodities September 20th, 2017, 11:50 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
SMCJB First of all thank you for all your...

SMCJB

First of all thank you for all your posts in this thread. I have learned a lot and I think I speak for many when I say this.
Sorry if I am being too inquisitive and if you dont wish to...
Forum: Commodities September 20th, 2017, 10:57 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Back to this homework, I got a few questions: I...

Back to this homework, I got a few questions:
I assume you look at the "term structure" with the 5-year spread data, in this case in clear Contango.
1) Do you use normally linear regression instead...
Forum: Commodities September 19th, 2017, 10:06 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
No longer in Houston but the house is ok...

No longer in Houston but the house is ok fortunately... I will start digging in your posts here to understand better your approach to flies.
Regards.
Forum: Commodities September 18th, 2017, 01:50 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Its getting steeper now in the near term, about...

Its getting steeper now in the near term, about 54c between Dec17 and Jun18 and flatter between Jun18 and Jun20. Do you have a butterfly in place? Are you looking for the curve to flatten in the near...
Forum: Commodities February 23rd, 2016, 04:36 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
I am just amazed how Equities are following Crude...

I am just amazed how Equities are following Crude Oil, specially during RTH. If you know how to trade CL, you got the key to Indices and Bonds.
I wish I knew how lol. For now I am just following my...
Forum: Commodities February 4th, 2016, 10:26 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Where do you get this kind of information on a...

Where do you get this kind of information on a given ETN? Looking at price and volume?
Forum: Commodities November 19th, 2015, 04:07 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
With current ending stocks and the way US Dollar...

With current ending stocks and the way US Dollar is gaining value, I bet for $30 (without putting any money of course).
Forum: Commodities November 16th, 2015, 12:43 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
I am not sure if shorting ULSD this close to...

I am not sure if shorting ULSD this close to winter is a good idea. Maybe it is...


I do think that current news might change the price of crude though...

What "news" signal would anyone...
Forum: Commodities October 27th, 2015, 04:13 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Yes, ~56M bbl more in the market now from the SPR...

Yes, ~56M bbl more in the market now from the SPR stock. I wonder at what price they bought, or used to buy.

I would go short on the retail bus if I had the cash now.

Bad timing and there is no...
Forum: Commodities October 21st, 2015, 01:46 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
As I told SMCJB privately, I really appreciate...

As I told SMCJB privately, I really appreciate his input. Lecture was probably not the best term though. My english is still a little rough. (That's my excuse for everything).

But yes, big...
Forum: Commodities October 21st, 2015, 12:10 PM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
After a private lecture from SMCJB on what data...

After a private lecture from SMCJB on what data to look at on an EIA report. Below the corrected graph.
Once more, thanks SMCJB.

https://nexusfi.com/attachment.php?attachmentid=195659
Forum: Commodities October 21st, 2015, 11:23 AM
Replies: 2,696
Views: 627,131
Posted By ElChacal
Thousand Barrels. Let me tweak the graph and...

Thousand Barrels. Let me tweak the graph and repost.
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