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Trading the bigger picture: Scalper Edition
Started:June 18th, 2009 (04:35 PM) by Big Mike Views / Replies:6,527 / 27
Last Reply:November 19th, 2013 (12:42 AM) Attachments:6

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Trading the bigger picture: Scalper Edition

Old June 18th, 2009, 04:35 PM   #1 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
Manta, Ecuador
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: My own custom solution
Favorite Instrument: SP500, Stocks
 
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Trading the bigger picture: Scalper Edition

First, know that I'm a scalper. I just want somewhere between many ticks and a few points on each trade. With one contract, something like $50-100 per trade is fine. Then I throw more contracts at a winning strategy to hit my daily goals.

For a very long time, I struggled with looking at the bigger picture. Others were telling me I needed to look at 500 minute charts, 30 minute charts, whatever. Sure I could see huge trend over the course of days, but it was in the past and I couldn't find a way to apply what these charts were showing me. After all, I just need 1 point on my trade, not 10 or 20.

I spent all my energy and resources trying to develop the perfect chart. Just one chart, a small time frame (because I am a scalper). In the end, what happened could be explained very easily: Mixed signals/indicators didn't agree with each other.

That is because in order to try and account for every market condition (ie: pull backs, reversals, fake outs, chop, etc), there is no way to make all of this jive on one signal chart. So you end up with some really fast moving indicators, to try and get you in quick at the beginning of a move, and you have slow indicators that tell you if it was a fake out, etc.

It never worked for me.

Well, after a lot of time and lost money, I finally came around to understanding the advantages of looking at the bigger picture. I use three charts: small, medium, big. Let's take the ES as an example, since that is what most people here trade.

Big chart
Size: 10946 volume.
Purpose: Big picture trend.

The big chart shows me today's overall trend. The entire day fits on one screen. I don't care about yesterday or day before. Many people do, but not me. The big chart shows me major trend direction and strong S/R levels. You literally don't need a single indicator on it, although I use a couple just because I'm a visual person.

Medium chart
Size: 4181 volume.
Purpose: Identify reversals.

The medium chart is almost good enough to trade off of. It shows me a more up-close and personal look at the market -- more detail. This chart has just a few indicators on it that help me visualize when a reversal has formed or failed.

Small chart
Size: 2584 volume, or 3/4 range. (subjective)
Purpose: Timing your entry.

The small chart is what I use to decide the exact moment and price to enter a trade. That's it. I really don't use it to time an exit, because I'm a scalper.

Now lets put everything together.

1. Identify the big trend. You can use a variety of indicators to help you visualize this. I'm really liking EOT's Allas Average, but you can use a big MACD too. I only trade in the direction of trend, never counter-trend. Sure, you can miss a lot of trades with this. Who cares? Are you trading to trade, or are you trading to make money?

2. Wait for a failure of whatever the opposite of trend is. If big picture trend says long, then wait for a short to form and then fail. Look at the medium chart to determine the extent of the failure (tiny failure, big failure) and you'll be able to determine if this is a good time to start looking for entry.

3. Turn to your small entry chart. Look for the best time to get in. I never like to catch the tops or bottoms of trades, so this is usually on the first bar that closes in the right direction for me.

Simple as that. Trading became a lot easier once I started using this method over the "one chart does all" method. I think everyone should find what works for them, and use it. If you are still looking for that, then consider this approach and adapt it to your own style.

I've said many times before that one of the most important aspects of trading is having confidence. I believe that confidence is best established by coming up with your own strategy and rules instead of copying someone else. So study what works for others, and adapt it, don't just copy it.

If you've read this entire post and are sitting here saying that it isn't easy to see the big picture trend, then the only thing that is going to really help is experience. In the beginning, I couldn't "see" it either. I do have to admit, using the EOT Allas Avg makes things easier to see. Most indicators are just lagging price, but if you are a visual person (like me) then there are some that can provide something of benefit. Keep toying with them on historical charts until you can confidently say you have something that properly identifies big trend. Don't trade the big chart, unless you can stomach huge stops (I can't).

I will post some charts in the coming days.

Hope this helps!

Mike

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Old June 18th, 2009, 08:06 PM   #2 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
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Here is a big chart and medium chart from today from the ZN. For ZN I use 6765 volume for big, 1597 volume for medium.

Big chart said SHORTS ONLY all day. So we look for long failures on the medium chart. The %R on the medium chart helps show us the strength of the move.

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You can see from my charts that I believe you can trade in a simplistic fashion with not a lot of indicators.

Mike

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Old June 18th, 2009, 08:23 PM   #3 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
Manta, Ecuador
 
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Trading the bigger picture: Scalper Edition


Here are some ES charts demonstrating what I said in my first post.

Please register to view the post attachment(s), image(s), or screenshot(s) - it's simple and free.


Ok the big chart (above). All we really care about on this chart is direction. Direction is long because price is above EOT's Allas Avg.

Please register to view the post attachment(s), image(s), or screenshot(s) - it's simple and free.


Please register to view the post attachment(s), image(s), or screenshot(s) - it's simple and free.


The medium charts (above) are for picking reversals only. We know we want only longs since our big chart made that clear.

I can't show a small chart today because mine is messed up, I am playing with some new EOT stuff.

Remember not to be greedy. Two or three trades a day is all you need, with 1 to 2 points each. You can make $500-$1000 a day with that, just get comfortable scaling up the contracts.

Also keep in mind sometimes simple is best. I think my charts show you can be simple and still have a lot of information at your hands.

Mike

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Old June 18th, 2009, 10:27 PM   #4 (permalink)
Elite Member
Alpharetta, GA
 
Trading Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja
Broker/Data: Mirus / Zenfire
Favorite Instrument: ES
 
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Posts: 257 since Jun 2009
Thanks: 28 given, 37 received

Mike,

Thanks for sharing these charts. I've been looking at ZN on a (3 RangeNoGap) chart with a 34/34 ema as a trend guide. You may want to check that out.
Here is a screenshot of my current ZN chart from today. I haven't traded ZN yet. I'm just watching it and tweaking the chart. http://screencast.com/t/gLAuClsXn

Quick Questions:
Is the Williams %R indicator that you showed on your chart something that you can share?
I use the EOT indicators also...how did you get allas average to show different up and down colors?

Thanks for sharing,
Todd

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Old June 18th, 2009, 11:24 PM   #5 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
Manta, Ecuador
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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Favorite Instrument: SP500, Stocks
 
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Posts: 31,207 since Jun 2009
Thanks: 20,752 given, 38,210 received


Todd View Post
Is the Williams %R indicator that you showed on your chart something that you can share?
I use the EOT indicators also...how did you get allas average to show different up and down colors?

Just do JMA(WilliamsR(Length), phase, smooth) for the custom Williams %R.

For the custom colored Allas Avg, the code is straight forward just like coloring any line:

 
Code
			
            if (CurrentBar 1)
            if (
Low[0] > EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0])
            { 
                
Up.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Up.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(1);
                
Avg.Set(Up[0]);
            }
            else if (
High[0] < EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0])
            {
                
Down.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Down.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(-1);
                
Avg.Set(Down[0]);
            }
            else
            {
                
Neutral.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Neutral.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(0);
                
Avg.Set(Neutral[0]);
            } 
Mike

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Old June 18th, 2009, 11:36 PM   #6 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Posts: 257 since Jun 2009
Thanks: 28 given, 37 received

Mike,

I don't see the JMA (Williams % R) in my list of indicators. Can you post the indicator in the download section or reply with it attached to this post?

Regarding the code for the colored Allas Average, should I just create a new indicator and paste that code into the indicator? When I go to "edit ninjascript", I don't even see the EOT indicators listed. I"m sure that is by design on their part.

Todd

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Old June 18th, 2009, 11:44 PM   #7 (permalink)
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ct
 
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Big Mike View Post
Just do JMA(WilliamsR(Length), phase, smooth) for the custom Williams %R.

For the custom colored Allas Avg, the code is straight forward just like coloring any line:

 
Code
			
            if (CurrentBar 1)
            if (
Low[0] > EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0])
            { 
                
Up.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Up.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(1);
                
Avg.Set(Up[0]);
            }
            else if (
High[0] < EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0])
            {
                
Down.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Down.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(-1);
                
Avg.Set(Down[0]);
            }
            else
            {
                
Neutral.Set(1EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[1]);
                
Neutral.Set(EOTAllasAvg(AAlength0.0045falsefalse25).AAvg[0]);
                
Signal.Set(0);
                
Avg.Set(Neutral[0]);
            } 
Mike


Hi Mike, Where can we get WilliamsR indicator

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Old June 19th, 2009, 08:03 AM   #8 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
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Trading Experience: Advanced
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Favorite Instrument: SP500, Stocks
 
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Todd View Post
Mike,

I don't see the JMA (Williams % R) in my list of indicators. Can you post the indicator in the download section or reply with it attached to this post?

Regarding the code for the colored Allas Average, should I just create a new indicator and paste that code into the indicator? When I go to "edit ninjascript", I don't even see the EOT indicators listed. I"m sure that is by design on their part.

Todd

JMA is in the downloads section now:
http://forum.bigmiketrading.com/local_links.php?action=ratelink&catid=4&linkid=26

Williams %R with JMA smoothing is in there now, too:
http://forum.bigmiketrading.com/local_links.php?action=ratelink&catid=4&linkid=27

Attached is the EOT Allas Average with coloring options.

Mike

Attached Files
Register to download File Type: cs EOTAAvgMike.cs (8.2 KB, 248 views)
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Old June 19th, 2009, 08:04 AM   #9 (permalink)
Administrator: 'da Big Dawg
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Trading Experience: Advanced
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Posts: 31,207 since Jun 2009
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milford View Post
Hi Mike, Where can we get WilliamsR indicator

The normal %R is in NT by default. The JMA smoothed version is available here in the downloads section:

http://forum.bigmiketrading.com/loca...id=4&linkid=27

Mike

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Old June 20th, 2009, 02:27 AM   #10 (permalink)
Elite Member
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Trading Experience: Intermediate
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Posts: 167 since Jun 2009
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Thanks Mike. Very helpful.

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