Santiago, Chile
Experience: None
Platform: Ninjatrader
Trading: ES
Posts: 4 since Feb 2012
Thanks Given: 0
Thanks Received: 8
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Hi,
this is a little intro:
I started trading my 20- day personalized 150k Combine three days ago. The target for my combine is 14k in 20 days, with just a profit objective, but I canīt lose more than 3k/day or 4.5k in drawdown. I will be posting every day from now.
At this moment I am down $300 dollars, since I am combining my strategy which only focuses on the /ES and the /NQ and a famous trading room I joined. Trading the room has been a bad idea as I have lost about 1300 Dollars trading their calls. I have joined 70% of the rooms out there and I can say, none have worked. Thatīs just a heads-up for newer traders.
My strategy is based on identifying the indexes leaders and looking for direction in them and also tracking buy/sell programs through the $EPREM. I have been trading for 8 years now and my only real success has come from trading options and some statistical arbitrage, as I know when I have an edge there. In 2012 I made more than 400k trading futures for a fund; however, that success quickly fizzled, as the Euro Crises faded (in my opinion temporarily) and markets lost volatility. I started in Topstep because itīs much better than trading a fund, as it is more strict for risk-taking, but one get up to 80% of the profits. I would get paid 20% in the fund.
Good thing is that I knew it would happen as my strategies were very basic (reading tape through delta to confirm technical indicators + patterns) and I quickly reduced size.
What is my edge today? (question every trader should ask). I have tried everything, no kidding. I know how to read the tape(delta), know about volume analysis, all tech indicators and patterns, candlesticks, statistical arbitrage, etc. I have tested everything back and forward and these, sorry, but will not give any trader an edge. Expectancy ends up being zero, so I believe if one wants to become a trader that makes any kind of income, one has to find an edge. One only has an edge when he/she does not anyone to know how that edge maybe executed.
1. Being able to quantitatively measure leaders in each index.
2. Understand buy/sell programs.
3. Only explode times during the day were historical volatility is rising.
My flaws:
I am a horrible trader. Seriously, after 8 years, I cannot control my emotions. In 2012, I had no emotions to control since my strategy was a daily winner and when one is up a few hundred k, itīs easier but in 2013, just like in 2009, I realized I cannot trade well. I may be able to make the combine because my system is fairly mechanical but thatīs it.
Thanks.
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