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Chaikin Volatility Method on CL


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Chaikin Volatility Method on CL

  #1 (permalink)
 
LordAlfa's Avatar
 LordAlfa 
Scarborough, Ontario
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader, MetaTrader
Broker: Mirus/Zenfire
Trading: CL, EURUSD, 6E
Posts: 88 since Jul 2009
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Hi,

I am exploring this indicator. There isn't one on Ninja 6.5 but the 7.0 has it.

It does not give trade signals even for weeks. This is a high win probability method, so far it is looking ok. Just that I am not always there to make the trade, I am thinking of automating this method. Great for those who do not like over trading.

Create a ETH chart on CL of time frame 15 mins.

Insert the second panel of Chaikin Volatility index of parameters 10,10.

Draw constant line on the index of 196 level.

The idea that when the index crosses 196 level for that bar, it is termed as an extreme move. It is most likely that the price on the next few bars will run on the opposite direction.

This is the procedure for a sell.

1. Chaikin index blows over 196 level.

2. Bar that causes it is bullish.

3. (safest) Wait for 2 bearish bars.

4. Sell at the close of the 2nd bearish bar.

5. Target 50 ticks.

6. Stop 100 ticks.

Opposite for buy.

I know you might be asking why 100 ticks stop loss? It is because when the Chaikin goes over 196, there might still be a chance that there is more pull up, though the chance is slim. I might argue that you can place a tighter stop, if it gets you out, re-enter while the Chaikin index is sloping down.

I am open to suggestions for any improvement.

Please know that this is not a trigger happy method, this is a sniper. 1 shot 1 kill.

For those wanting it on ES, set the Chaikin level to 169. Target 16 ticks, Stop 20 ticks.

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  #3 (permalink)
 
LordAlfa's Avatar
 LordAlfa 
Scarborough, Ontario
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader, MetaTrader
Broker: Mirus/Zenfire
Trading: CL, EURUSD, 6E
Posts: 88 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 7
Thanks Received: 49


For those who have more a higher risk propensity, you can start your trade immediately on the next bar.

If the bar that causes the cross is a bullish, go short.

If the bar that causes the cross is bearish, go long.

Please apply trade management that you are comfortable with.

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 veigaman 
vienna, virginia, usa
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TradeNavigator, Multicharts
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Was curious if you have been able to backtest your strategy since you made the post. Your approach looks promising. Did you find the indicator on other platforms?


LordAlfa View Post
For those who have more a higher risk propensity, you can start your trade immediately on the next bar.

If the bar that causes the cross is a bullish, go short.

If the bar that causes the cross is bearish, go long.

Please apply trade management that you are comfortable with.


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  #5 (permalink)
 
LordAlfa's Avatar
 LordAlfa 
Scarborough, Ontario
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader, MetaTrader
Broker: Mirus/Zenfire
Trading: CL, EURUSD, 6E
Posts: 88 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 7
Thanks Received: 49

No I have not. When I am there, the signal wasn't there to trade, when I wasn't, it appeared. It is constant vigilance. I have not automated this so, there is no automated strategy to try this on a back test let alone a forward test. Metatrader 4 & 5 have a similar indicator. Ninja 6.5 did not have this.

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jkghkj
Barceolna, Spain
 
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Nice strategy.

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 monpere 
Bala, PA, USA
 
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LordAlfa View Post
No I have not. When I am there, the signal wasn't there to trade, when I wasn't, it appeared. It is constant vigilance. I have not automated this so, there is no automated strategy to try this on a back test let alone a forward test. Metatrader 4 & 5 have a similar indicator. Ninja 6.5 did not have this.

No need for a coded strategy to do a preliminary backtest, just do an initial visual backtest. Load up a chart with as much historical data as you need, then visually scroll forward through the chart, marking up all the signals you see, and if they are a winner or a loser. Once you go through 100 or so signals, then determine the win loss ratio and whether the expectancy is positive. If the results are not good, you may want to decide it the strategy is worth pursuing further or not. That's the way I weed out strategies, and takes very little time to do.

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Last Updated on December 15, 2012


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